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碳中和目標(biāo)下中國碳減排路徑及建議

來源：電工電氣發(fā)布時(shí)間：2022-05-28 10:28 瀏覽次數(shù)：496

碳中和目標(biāo)下中國碳減排路徑及建議

謝彥祥，肖漢，夏雪，孫建偉

(中國電力工程顧問集團(tuán)西南電力設(shè)計(jì)院有限公司，四川成都 610021)

摘要：為有序?qū)嵤┨紲p排以確保碳中和目標(biāo)如期實(shí)現(xiàn)，分析了碳排放結(jié)構(gòu)以及碳減排對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、能源結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、能源安全性和經(jīng)濟(jì)性等方面的影響，認(rèn)清碳排放現(xiàn)狀和實(shí)現(xiàn)碳中和面臨的挑戰(zhàn)。為量化評(píng)估碳減排總體效果，結(jié)合發(fā)展趨勢和政策導(dǎo)向，從能源和經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型角度提出能源利用總效率、非化石能源在一次能源消費(fèi)中比重等 6 個(gè)碳減排宏觀指標(biāo)，定量分析了未來的變化趨勢，并結(jié)合碳排放特點(diǎn)和碳減排過程可能面臨的困難，以實(shí)現(xiàn)碳減排宏觀指標(biāo)為目標(biāo)，提出加快清潔能源開發(fā)利用、推動(dòng)化石能源轉(zhuǎn)型等 8 項(xiàng)碳減排路徑及建議。

關(guān)鍵詞： 碳中和；碳減排；非化石能源；清潔能源；宏觀指標(biāo)；路徑

中圖分類號(hào)：TM715 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼：A 文章編號(hào)：1007-3175(2022)05-0001-07

China's Carbon Emission Reduction Paths and Suggestions

Under the Carbon Neutrality Target

XIE Yan-xiang, XIAO Han, XIA Xue, SUN Jian-wei

（Southwest Electric Power Design Institute Co., Ltd. of China Power Engineering Consulting Group, Chengdu 610021, China）

Abstract: This paper analyzed the carbon emission structure and the impact of carbon emission reduction from different aspects, such as economic development, energy structure adjustment, energy security, and economy. In addition, it recognized the current situation of carbon emissions and the challenges of achieving carbon neutrality.This study combined the development trend and policy orientation to propose six macro indexes of carbon emission reduction from the economy and energy transition perspective. These indexes included energy utilization efficiency, the proportion of non-fossil energy in primary energy consumption, etc. The indexes could help to quantify the overall effect of carbon reduction. Moreover, it is quantitatively analyzed the variation trend of the future.Besides, this paper combined the characteristics of carbon emissions and the difficulties of carbon emission reduction to propose eight carbon emission reduction paths and suggestions, including accelerating the development and utilization of clean energy and promoting the transformation of fossil energy. These suggestions could help to achieve the macro target of carbon emission reduction.

Key words: carbon neutrality; carbon emission reduction; non-fossil energy; clean energy; macro indicator; path

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