大規(guī)模風(fēng)電場(chǎng)的可靠性模型研究
朱紅，周冬旭，羅興
(南京供電公司，江蘇 南京 210019)
摘 要： 為更真實(shí)地模擬風(fēng)電場(chǎng)的實(shí)際運(yùn)行情況，在充分考慮風(fēng)電機(jī)組停運(yùn)的氣候相依性、尾流效應(yīng)以及不同型號(hào)風(fēng)機(jī)對(duì)風(fēng)電場(chǎng)可靠性的影響情況下，基于通用生成函數(shù)方法建立了風(fēng)電場(chǎng)的可靠性模型，引入并計(jì)算了新的風(fēng)電場(chǎng)可靠性指標(biāo)，將其結(jié)果與Monte Carlo 方法進(jìn)行比較，驗(yàn)證了所提方法的準(zhǔn)確性，為風(fēng)電場(chǎng)的規(guī)劃和并網(wǎng)運(yùn)行提供了新的思路。
關(guān)鍵詞： 通用生成函數(shù)；風(fēng)電場(chǎng)；可靠性模型
中圖分類號(hào)：TM614 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼： A 文章編號(hào)：1007-3175(2014)11-0006-05
Study on Reliability Model of Large-Scale Wind Farm
ZHU Hong, ZHOU Dong-xu, LUO Xing
（Nanjing Power Supply Company, Nanjing 210019, China）
Abstract: In order to truly analog the actual operation conditions of wind farm and in full consideration of wind power generation forced outage caused by weather effect, wake effects and different types of wind power generation with impacts conditions on wind farm reliability, this paper introduced and calculated the new wind farm reliability index, its result being compared with Monte Carlo method, which verified correctness of the method mentioned to provide new thinking way for wind farm planning and grid connection operation.
Key words: universal generating function; wind farm; reliability model
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